Author: Lawrence Cunningham

13

“Le laisser-faire, c’est fini”?

dollar sign.jpgThe title quote is attributed to French President Nicolas Sarkozy in Roger Altman’s insightfully sobering piece in the current issue of Foreign Affairs [volume 88, at pp. 2-14]. The topic sentence: “The financial and economic crash of 2008, the worst in over 75 years, is a major geopolitical setback for the United States . . . .” True, the final paragraph concludes, “The United States will remain the most powerful nation on earth for a while longer.” [at 14]. But its standing and influence are badly damaged and there is little that can be done to reverse or limit the effects.

On average, Americans lost 1/4 of their net worth from June 2007 to December 2008. [I am one of those average Americans.] Net worth reductions appear in all assets classes: home equity values down 33% [$4.2 trillion, mine down 20%], retirement savings values down 22% [$2.3 trillion, mine down 25%], other securities investment values down 25% [$2.5 trillion, mine down 20%]. Total value reduction: $8.8 trillion.

Broad stock market indexes fell by nearly half from highs in 2007 to the end of 2008. Altman says this means participants are “anticipating an even worse drop in corporate profits” ahead, although he also notes how the current environment reflects psychological as well as substantive effects, highlighting “deep fright”, “shock,” and a sense of “doom pervading Washington and the U.S. media.” Altman also notes that the recent period shows “a classic pattern of overshooting, [with] markets swinging from euphoria to despair.”

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10

Satyam Fraud’s Systemic Regulatory Implications

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From a systemic regulatory standpoint, the Madoff Ponzi scheme remains of limited significance, especially compared to the latest exposed fraud case, at the large Indian software company, Satyam Computers Services Ltd., whose shares trade on the New York Stock Exchange (in the form of American Depository Receipts, or ADRs). Its CEO released a letter yesterday disclosing an elaborate, and apparently simple, billion-dollar fraud that went undetected by the firm’s outside auditors, an India affiliate of PriceWaterhouseCoopers (PWC).

The Satyam fraud presents serious questions about systemic regulatory efficacy, particularly concerning auditing and audit firm oversight. True, it may seem outlandish that Madoff was able to use a rinky-dink auditing firm to review the books of a fund commanding billions of dollars in assets and it may be that even such small auditing firms of even private funds require as much regulatory supervision as larger auditing firms auditing public enterprises.

But the Satyam scandal presents a far more serious problem. Unlike Madoff, the company has shares listed in the United States. Also unlike Madoff, it was audited by a foreign affiliate of a large US auditing firm, PWC, whose operations apparently were outside the scope of review undertaken by the US auditing profession’s regulatory overseer, the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (PCAOB).

Pending additional information from the newly-revealed fraud, of course, a couple of preliminary issues may prove to be lessons of the Satyam fraud. First, if foreign companies list securities in the United States, their financial statements need to be audited by a firm whose activities are subject to regulatory oversight in the United States.

Second, the fraud implicates the Securities and Exchange Commission’s recent enthusiasm for the concept of mutual recognition. This refers to a policy allowing foreign firms, especially brokers but potentially also companies and auditors, to access US securities markets without regulatory oversight here, so long as they are subject to comparable regulatory oversight at home. (I have questioned this policy before.)

Third, there is some possibility that audit failures by foreign affiliates of US auditing firms could expose the US firm to crushing legal liability. This could lead to the dissolution of one of the four remaining large US auditing firms (see my post here). Should that occur, with only three such firms standing, the country would face an additional blow to its system of corporate finance, with attendant adversity for the real economy and citizens.

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2

Humble Tribute to Chief Judge Judith Kaye

Chief Judge Judith Kaye.jpgOne of the country’s greatest contemporary judges, Judith Kaye, Chief Judge of the New York Court of Appeals, will retire at year-end under the state’s mandatory retirement law. Having served with distinction for some 25 years (15 as Chief Judge), she has earned a deserved reputation for integrity, influence, discernment, very high quality opinion writing—as well as administrative excellence. Notably, Judge Kaye was the first woman appointed to New York’s high court and its longest serving Chief Judge.

In an editorial tribute on December 14, the Sunday New York Times instanced “groundbreaking decisions,” including interpreting the New York Constitution to require the state to provide its citizens with “sound, basic education;” finding certain provisions of a New York death penalty statute unconstitutional; and finding that gay persons enjoy rights to adopt their partners’ children.

In fields closer to my heart and mind, Judge Kaye wrote several important and influential opinions on the common law of contracts, continuing a tradition on her court, whose earlier members include luminaries such as Benjamin Cardozo, Stanley Fuld, and Charles Brietel. Judge Kaye’s opinions have made their way into Contracts casebooks, becoming staples of the course.

Judge Kaye’s opinions are likely to increasingly be reprinted in Contracts casebooks. If so, she would join the only other woman, Ellen Ash Peters, former Chief Justice of Connecticut, on lists of judges whose opinions are frequently reprinted, which include the likes of Cardozo, Roger Traynor, Richard Posner and Learned Hand).

One illustration, from Judge Kaye’s early years on the bench, is the classroom favorite, Van Wagner Advertising Corp. v. S&M Enterprises, 492 N.E.2d 756 (N.Y. 1986), where Judge Kaye announced her holding in the opening lines: “specific performance of a contract to lease ‘unique’ billboard space is properly denied when damages are adequate to compensate the tenant . . . .”

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0

Inauguration Day—Plus One

drink2b.jpgBars in the District of Columbia can stay open 24 hours a day (and night) from January 17 through January 21 (and sell alcohol until 5:00 a.m. instead of the usual 2:00 a.m.), thanks to legislation its City Council passed for the occasion. WaPo story here.

With hotels booked up early, at high prices, and many home owners or renters letting their places out for two nights at a rate that can cover a months’ carrying costs, maybe some revelers will simply spend the night in a bar and head home at dawn the next day!

For those of us scheduled to teach classes in Washington at 9:00 a.m. on the Wednesday after Inauguration Day, one wonders what percentage of students likely will preparedly attend.

0

Congrats to Mary Schapiro, SEC Chair Nominee

Mary Schapiro.jpgUS President-elect Barack Obama announced his intention to nominate Mary Schapiro as Chair of the Securities and Exchange Commission. We at GW Law School, from which Ms. Schaprio graduated in 1980, are delighted. We wish her well in what promises to be a very difficult period for the SEC. Already, questions arise about the orientation Ms. Schapiro will bring, raised sharply in Susan Antilla’s Bloomberg column today. From the Obama transition team web site is the following biography of Ms. Schapiro.

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4

W Presidential Library

The following letter is making rounds in philanthropic circles. Some hyperbole is evident. But, hey, times are tough.

Dear Fellow Constituent:

The George W. Bush Presidential Library is now in the planning stages and accepting donations. The Library will include:

1. The Hurricane Katrina Room, still under construction.

2. The Alberto Gonzales Room, where you forget everything.

3. The Texas Air National Guard Room, where you don’t even have to show up.

4. The Walter Reed Hospital Room, where they don’t let you in.

5. The Guantanamo Bay Room, where they don’t let you out.

6. The Weapons of Mass Destruction Room, though no one has been able to find it.

7. The National Debt Room, which is huge and has no ceiling.

8. The Tax Cut Room (only the super rich, if any are left, can enter this one).

9. The Economy Room, which is in the toilet.

10. The Iraq War Room. (After you complete your first visit, the stern librarians make you go back for a second, third, fourth, and sometimes fifth visit.)

11. The Dick Cheney Room, in an undisclosed location, but complete with shooting gallery.

12. The Environmental Conservation Room, still empty, though full of promise.

13. The Supreme Gift Shop, where elections may be on sale.

14. The Airport Men’s Room, where some Senators have been observed hanging about.

15. The Decider Room, complete with dart board, magic 8-ball, Ouija board, dice, coins and straws.

The library will include many famous Quotes by George W. Bush, including the following:

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2

Times Softens SEC Bashing

SEC Seal.gifOn Monday, I posted my opinion that people should be cautious in rushing to rebuke the Securities and Exchange Commission for any failures leading to the Madoff Ponzi scheme. Also on Monday, the New York Times engaged in such a rush. In today’s paper, the Times softens that stance. These views may have some bearing on whether the SEC survives, is dismantled or reconstituted in coming financial regulation reform.

My post said charges against the SEC for failure in the Madoff case should be looked into but that it was equally likely that the charges would prove incorrect. Above all, I opined that talk of SEC blame for the Ponzi scheme risks distracting from manifestly pressing matters of systemic significance arising in the general financial crisis.

In Monday’s Times Stephen Labaton painted a very unflattering piece on the SEC, emphasizing its alleged failures to interdict the Madoff scam, and quoting Chris Cox, current SEC Chair, as acknowleding some fault. The story, which ran on page B6 and spanned 876 words, called the Madoff episode the “latest black eye” for the SEC. It also mentioned the SEC’s failure to anticipate the problems at Bear Stearns, and cited SEC inspector general reports on “several major botched investigations” (although without noting that those reports have been contested by other SEC officials).

The Monday story also reported on other rumor-based and word of mouth complaints about morale among SEC staff, even assertions of a “hollowing out” of the agency under Bush administration directives.

In today’s paper, Mr. Labaton offers a different view.

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1

Spreading Blame in Ponzi Scheme

When word of Bernard Madoff’s alleged $50 billion Ponzi scheme broke last Friday, my systemic worry was whether the fund was audited by a prominent auditing firm. Public revelation of an auditor’s involvement in such a fraud would almost certainly destroy it. Cf. Arthur Andersen amid Enron (2002).

If one of the four very largest auditing firms (Deloitte, Ernst, KPMG or PWC) were involved, the world would face an additional crisis by reducing from 4 to 3 the number of auditing firms capable of auditing most global companies. Indeed, such added crisis could occur if one of the next three largest firms (BDO Seidman, Grant Thornton or McGladrey Pullen) were implicated in such a fraud.

Fortunately, Madoff’s vehicle was not audited by one of those 7 firms (it was apparently audited by a storefront neighborhood accountant). Yet there is continuing fallout from this fraud that, some assert, does implicate one of the large 7 firms. In a putative class action lawsuit filed yesterday, New York Law School is suing investment advisor, Ezra Merkin, and his outside auditor, BDO Seidman.

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0

Yeshiva University Remains Strong, President Writes

YU_flame.gifEchoing Dave Hoffman’s post reporting from the President of Yale University, the President of Yeshiva University, Richard Joel, circulated a note to consitutencies to assure them, in light of both allegations concerning Bernard Madoff and prevailing economic adversity, that the Univesity is “financially strong,” student financial support “will not diminish,” and staff pensions are unaffected. President Joel continued as follows:

We have been engaged over the last two months in reviewing our budgets to seek ways to cut our operating costs due to global economic realities. We will continue to do so and remain committed to advancing our crucial mission of providing an education that ennobles and enables our students

Bernard Madoff is no longer associated with our institution in any way. The University had no investments directly with Madoff. Last Thursday night, we were informed by Ascot Partners, a vehicle in which we had invested a small part of our endowment funds for 15 years, that substantially all its assets are invested with Madoff. The Ascot fund was managed by J. Ezra Merkin who has served as a University trustee and chairman of the investment committee. Mr. Merkin has resigned from all University positions.

In the most recent statement from Ascot, Yeshiva’s investment was valued at about $110 million, which represents about 8% of our endowment. While these facts are disappointing, we need to remain focused on the larger picture. We are but one of many institutions and individuals that have been impacted.

. . . [T]he University’s endowment, taking into account the Ascot loss, is currently estimated to be approximately $1.2 billion, down from approximately $1.7 billion on January 1, 2008. That loss of 28%, calendar year-to-date, compares with an S&P loss of 38% and Dow Jones loss of 32%. While certainly this represents a painful decline, we are in the same or better position as many universities.

Although this decreased endowment must factor into our long term fiscal plans, it will have minimal impact on day-to-day operations. Total income from endowment last year represented 13% of the University’s operating income. Much more critical to our future health is the continued level of financial support from the YU family, philanthropists, and friends. So, while we are in a healthy and strong position to move forward, we must use the moment to address all concerns that this situation has illuminated.

In light of recent developments, we have decided to examine our existing conflicts policies and procedures, and governance structures to assist us in this process. We have engaged Sullivan & Cromwell and Cambridge Associates, internationally renowned and respected institutions with recognized expertise in corporate and institutional governance, to ensure that our policies and procedures and structure reflect not only best practices, but the gold standard — the standard to which we aspire for all our endeavors. We will be working closely with our advisors over the coming weeks and months and I’m confident that we’ll emerge stronger than ever.

. . . We all should use these times to reflect on our blessings but also to reflect on our responsibilities. We should constantly be communally introspective and focus on advancing our ideals. The times are appropriate for us to focus on our core values, to practice and refine them and to share them with the world. We can and should always advance. Yeshiva University is committed to engaging in that conversation with other people of good will. . . .

3

Required versus Probable Reform and the Madoff Distraction

dollar sign.jpgThe press, politicians and reformers are devoting extraordinary attention to a Ponzi scheme whose only peculiarities are scale and duration. Compared to ongoing global financial devastation, this is trivial. Yet this attention may lead politicians to distract focus from their role in the deeper problems that matter far more.

Recriminations against the Securities and Exchange Commission arise from allegations it has made (complaint here) that Mr. Madoff operated a large-scale Ponzi scheme involving tens of billions of dollars over perhaps decades and bilking scores of sophisticated parties. SEC critics include prominent securities law professors Jim Cox (Duke) (SEC may “have a hell of a lot to answer for”) and Joel Seligman (Rochester) (“a debacle for the SEC”).

Critics express concern that the SEC may have failed to investigate investor tips (see Wall Street Journal story here); failed to regulate sufficiently Madoff’s investment advisory services or fund vehicles; or failed to enforce existing regulations. Calls are for both investigation and greater regulation, many pinning hope on the incoming Obama administration to institute such searching and effect requisite change.

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