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The Hardest Thing to Predict Is the Future

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2 Responses

  1. Orin Kerr says:

    Derek writes: “This is why piracy is a helpful pointer: it tells us what channels consumers want to use to access content.”

    Consumers want lots of cool stuff for free in a convenient format. Is that really so hard to figure out?

  2. Derek Bambauer says:

    Orin: I agree. But if you can give them numbers 1 and 3 on your list, they’re usually willing to trade #2 – or, at least, often enough to remain profitable. The content industries are so worried about #2, and so focused on preserving comfortably established business models, that they ignore 1 and 3.

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