Michael Abramowicz’s Predictocracy

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4 Responses

  1. He is, of course, also guest-blogging about the book over on The VC at the moment – http://volokh.com/posts/1201537799.shtml

    Worthy of a link, I’m sure.

  2. deven says:

    The book looks fascinating. For those looking for what I think is an opposing view, check Taleb’s Black Swans. A short version of the argument is here http://www.forbes.com/2007/05/23/nicholas-taleb-innovation-tech-cz_07rev_nt_0524taleb.html

    I have not read Predictocracy but given the pitch, Taleb’s article “You Can’t Predict Who Will Change The World” in Forbes (link above). Put differently the two views may be passing each other but they seem related though opposed.

  3. Miriam Cherry says:

    I’ve read Michael’s book and it is, indeed, definitely a worthy addition to your bookshelf, Dan!

  4. Frank says:

    There’s a nice article on Slate on the “momentum-ocracy” that has historically declared presidential candidates victors before a small fraction of delegates are officially chosen. I look forward to reading the book to see how it deals with the possibly untoward effects of early judgments cascading into self-fulfilling prophecies.