The Market Tells Us What To Think About Alito’s Hearings

Dave Hoffman

Dave Hoffman is the Murray Shusterman Professor of Transactional and Business Law at Temple Law School. He specializes in law and psychology, contracts, and quantitative analysis of civil procedure. He currently teaches contracts, civil procedure, corporations, and law and economics.

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2 Responses

  1. Dylan says:

    These are questionable conclusions to reach on this data. As a general matter it’s a very thinly traded market, always the moreso when a particular subject isn’t in the news.

    As to the specifics, it would take something huge to threaten the GOP’s 5 seat majority, given the state by state realities as they exist. A small shift in the overall picture just narrows the blowouts in the safe senate races and doesn’t touch the big picture.

    As far as Biden goes, these hearings changed nothing. People who watched him before knew he was an inane blowhard that makes Kerry look suave. People who watched him in these hearings for the first time now know it, too. But damned few did, they won’t remember much in two years of what they did see, and nothing he did will provide useful fodder for a future ad. So it’s a wash, and would be even if enough people were trading in these markets right now to make them meaningful.

  2. SCOTUSblog says:

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